There’s a theory that an invasion will happen tomorrow based, from what I can tell, on:
1. The escalation in rhetoric, and absurd claims of Ukrainians invading Russia, and the DNR / LNR.
2. The escalation of artillery strikes near the contact line in Eastern Ukraine.
3. The fact that Putin invaded Georgia on 08-08-2008.
As with previous predictions, be ready for the worst, but don’t it dominate your thinking. Focus on what is within your sphere of influence.
Julian Ropcke – Is there any evidence for Russia’s claims?
“Maryshka” – “Find your grandfather, Nazi!”
Russian alternative reality: the Kremlin wants you to believe that Ukraine refrained from attacking Russia for 8 years then inexplicably chose the exact moment when 200,000 Russian troops are poised to invade to launch a pointless artillery strike against an isolated border post.
https://twitter.com/Biz_Ukraine_Mag/status/1495742422797717506
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1495750204271828992
In the village of Subotiv,
Upon a lofty hill
There stands the coffin (2) of Ukraine —
A crypt both wide and still:
It is the church of great Bohdan,
Where once he used to pray
That Muscovite and Cossack might
Share good and ill alway.
May peace be to your soul, Bohdan!
Their gain has been our loss:
The Muscovites have snatched away
All that they came across;
And now they rend the burial mounds
In search of further loot;
Their hand assaults your hidden vaults;
They curse your soul to boot
Because they’ve nothing for their pains…
That’s how it is, Bohdan!
You’ve ruined derelict Ukraine
By your most friendly plan!
During the 2014 invasion, Peruvian statesman and Nobel Prize winning author Mario Vargo Llosa, have observed that Russian propaganda destroys meaning.
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2014/jun/17/russia-words-to-destroy-meaning-writers-nobel
Ivan the Terrible of Muskovy massacres the upper classes of Novgorod because the city-state was drifting toward Europe. He likely massacred the descendants of “Russian” folk hero Alexander Nevsky.
Farewell to Europe, by Aleksander A Sochaczewski. The painting depicts participants of the January 1863 Uprising on their forced march to serve their sentences in Siberia. The obelisk marks the geographic border line between Europe and Asia. The artist himself is among the exiled here, near the obelisk, on the right.
Drawing on Richard Pipes’ argument that the 1863 Polish revolt was viewed by many Russians as an illegitimate European attack on Russia and led them to conclude that “only the autocracy could preserve the integrity of the country,” Irina Glebova argues that the Ukrainian revolution of 2013-2014 (Euromaidan) has had “approximately the same influence on Russia.”
Paralleling what happened in Poland 150 years ago, the INION historian says, “the attempt of Ukraine to finally assert its European identity (in opposition to the Soviet-Russian) by completing the process of building independent statehood and an equal nation offended Russian national feelings.”
The uprising began as a spontaneous protest by young Poles against conscription into the Imperial Russian Army. It was soon joined by high-ranking Polish-Lithuanian officers and various politicians. The insurrectionists, severely outnumbered and lacking serious outside support, were forced to resort to guerrilla warfare tactics.
Reprisals against insurgents included the Tsar’s abolition of serfdom that granted land at low value (namely, the market price) and was designed to draw support of peasants away from the Polish nation and disrupt the national economy.[citation needed] Public executions and deportations to Siberia led many Poles to abandon armed struggle and turn instead to the idea of “organic work”: economic and cultural self-improvement.
Soldier’s comments @ 20 seconds of this video are very appropriate. I won’t translate them.
I’ve been there with civilians on the battle field in Afghanistan and Iraq.
One Ukrainian soldier was killed.
The story they’re selling is beyond absurd. Ukrainian waited for eight years after the start of war, waiting for the Russian military to massing in the East, North, and South, waiting for the Russian Navy to be running military exercises in the Black Sea, and then suddenly decided to get aggressive against these “separatist” regions.
Look at this video and notice:
* Tight camera angles try to convince you that two little buses are evacuating a city of a Million people.
* People have their faces covered.
* When the camera turns to someone they pull up their face masks, or slip on their hood to avoid being identified.
“Ukraine is one of those countries that in its sub-totalitarian past experienced one of the greatest tragedies in the history of human civilization – genocide,” James Mace.
Today, the famous political scientist, Holodomor researcher, would be 70 years old.
https://twitter.com/HolodomorMuseum/status/1494620589025341440
See his work on Amazon.
Kharkiv, Ukraine 2014
Moscow, Russia 2015
